Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Saturday, December 15, 2012

More Fiscal Cliff Talks

My Quick Rant On This Topic

You know...this crap of fear mongering by the media is so elementary and obvious it's sickening.  This whole show about the Fiscal Cliff and taxes, and the wealthiest Americans paying more, and blah blah blah, is such a racket that is designed to divide us all.

When really looking at the numbers the top earners don't pay as much in taxes as you think they do folks.  Warren Buffet even said openly that he pays less in taxes in terms of percentage of income, than the average person does.

The very top earners pay people to find ways to reduce their taxes. Don't get me wrong I'm not against being wealthy and making money and living a very good life - who doesn't want to live a rich and fulfilling life? Everyone does that's a no brainer.. My point is this is a sneaky way to divide people through social stratification.

If you have money and ran a business or several businesses your goal would be to reduce your tax expense..duh.. Who likes to pay taxes? Nobody does.  The real people who pay taxes are the ones in the middle.  They carry the load which is why the soundbites are always targeted to "middle class" Americans which again the labels create a huge problem as it divides people into groups which leads to warfare...which is what they want!

If we're too distracted fighting a false paradigm, we can't actually come together as a nation and figure out a way to fix the problem.  "Class warfare" they label it ensues only worsening the problem.  It's trickery and is designed to keep us distracted, fighting, and living in fear and confusion.

What you fail to realize is that inflation is a silent tax and is way worse than what we're dealing with here on income taxes.  Have you noticed your food bill lately?

Oh but they want you to think that's a good thing because if prices are going up then that means your incomes will go up to match and plus the stock market is doing good and home prices are rising so just shut up and "feel" more wealthy when in reality you're income is not going up and the only ones profiting from the rising prices are the ones that control the lever...

If it's not a war on drugs, it's terrorism or taxes, or a bad economy, or murders, shootings, rapes, car wrecks, environmental calamities...It's a constant stream of bad news designed to keep people distracted, scared, confused, and worried all the time..

Jesse Ventura says it best when he describes our Congress as the world federation of wrestling as in front of the camera's they hate each other we have division, they're fighting it out but behind closed doors they're all buddies.

What you need to do is educate yourself and don't be fooled by what's going on around you.

This economy isn't going to get any better any time soon.  You need to decide how you are going to utilize your skills, talents, and brains to create extra income you can convert to stores of value like gold and silver and protect your family from the worst case scenario.

There are many ways to get started now in creating additional streams of income in your part time and start protecting yourself now - create your own economy and don't let this trash talk distract you or rob you of joy, happiness, and peace in your life.  Spend time with loved ones and cherish the special memories.

God Bless,

D...out...


Secretary Donovan Questioned By Senate Banking Committee



Earlier this month Secretary Donovan was questioned by the Senate Banking Committee on the financial health of the FHA Mortgage Insurance Fund.  A report released in November showed the agency was in the red $16.3 Billion dollars and it appears will need a bailout..

When Donovan was questioned, he could not promise FHA would not need a bailout but rather said we'll know more when the President's budget is released...

So in others words..like I said in my previous post HERE FHA is in deep doo doo..

Donovan however cautioned the committee not to make too drastic of changes to how the fund insures mortgage's as to not stall the recovery. "We are seeing a recovery, but it is still fragile," Donovan told the Senate Banking Committee. "We don’t want to hurt the market and in turn the FHA fund by going too far and stopping that recovery."

The agency's capital reserve account has dropped significantly since 2006 to -1.44% ending fiscal year 2012.  Under law the ratio needs to stay at 2%.  If that's not insolvency folks, I don't know what is... and clearly I don't know anything..

Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.). "It is time for serious reform of the FHA before it needs a taxpayer bailout, if it isn’t too late already."

What types of changes need to be made? "A determination would not be made until the end of the 2013 fiscal year", Donovan said.

Haha...that means kicking the can down the road a bit and worrying about it later.  This seems to be the answer to all the issues we face is...let's just kick it down the road a bit and "see what happens".

Donovan said Congress could help the FHA by making some changes that the agency is unable to do on its own such as lowering max loan amounts (which Donovan is in favor of) as he noted, loan limits were reduced for Fannie and Freddie but not FHA which is putting more pressure on the fund in higher costs areas. 

What's interesting is nobody really thinks there is a problem but Wharton School of Finance Real Estate Professor Joseph Gyourko, thinks otherwise... "FHA is currently leveraged 41-to-1 -- which is higher than either Lehman Brothers (31-to-1) or Bear Stearns (38-to-1) when they collapsed"

Not to mention FHA is backing a proposal from the President to have Congress open up the Streamline Refinance to borrowers with non GSE and FHA mortgages and allow them to refinance into FHA insurance.. The min credit score? 580..

So not only is the fund in trouble but we're planning on expanding the refinance program that will further deplete funds, open up to more riskier borrowers, and then what? None of it makes any sense it will only  allow the banks to make even more money hand over fist which is what they've done since this whole thing began..

Yes - we've had a lot of banks collapse but those were competitors to the big mega banks and is the same thing that happened in the 1907 Panic; thousands of bank failures occurred but all that really happened was consolidation into bigger banks.   At that time private capital was taking profits away from the banks so something had to be done about so a widespread panic was induced which eventually led to the passing of the Federal Reserve Act (further consolidating power into the hands of the mega banks in New York) just a short 7 years later..

The name of the game is power folks..We as consumers pay more to keep FHA afloat so banks can continue to make money hand over fist.  They are purging the system of all its life until nothing is left bankrupting it all.

Just keep that in mind..

You want real truth..visit here.. Stop living in the matrix..

D...out..


Monday, February 2, 2009

Can Mortgage Rates Stay This Low?

What is really going on behind the scenes? Well, in a shortened version, it started with a bubble caused by the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, during the Clinton Administration that burst in 2001 and we know what happened next - 9/11. Alan Greenspan dropped the short term federal funds rate to super low of 1%. While this doesn't have a direct effect, mortgage rates dropped to 50 year lows fueled by purchases of treasury bonds and mortgage backed securities by foreign countries and hungry investors for high returns.

Wall Streets ingenious plan of packaging subprime loans into mortgage backed securities and collateralized debt obligations to pension funds, institutional investors, etc, and finally came to a crash with the bust of Bear Stearns two hedge funds that went broke. These two hedge funds bought Alt A and subprime loans packaged into securities with loans that were 2 and 3 year Arms, 100% percent no income no asset loans, and all the other stated income, no income, low credit score loans, that nobody ever thought would go bad. Please, WAKE UP!

The same idea that Wall Street sold to investors about Internet company stock prices that would just go up and up and up, with no fundamentals backing them, or earnings being put back into the companies, would last forever, is exactly what happened to the Real Estate market. Now you see the mess that we are in. So what does the government about all the foreclosures on homes from people who couldn't afford them? We borrow and spend more money to get people to borrow more. How does that make sense?

The treasury has spent billions of money that we don't have, that we are just borrowing from the Fed at interest, to temporarily price fix to subsidize mortgage rates to...... ta da, get people to borrow more! If we borrowed and spent to much to get into this mess why would borrow and spending more get us out. Multi billion dollar bailout after bailout will cause inflation to rise, interest rates will go back up, and we'll be still in debt paying interest on that debt at higher and higher interest rates crippling us from the debt load.

So back to the question, can mortgage rates stay this low? They can if demand for mortgage backed securities begins to rise again. Now that the treasury has wained from buying MBS, the FED has stepped in and committed to $500 Billion, of which its spent a good portion of it.

I don't like negative thinking or being a doomsdayer, but this low rate environment can't sustain itself. Back in the hottest moment of subprime loans, 65% of those loans were repackaged and given AAA credit ratings. That is the best credit rating you can get. How is that possible to rate subprime mortgage backed securities with the "best credit" ratings available. Sounds kinda of silly don't it?

So where are we going from here? Could we see another Carter Administration with interest rates in the teens? Probably not but I can tell you one thing. If you are in the market, and can afford to buy a home, now is a wonderful time to purchase with lower home prices and interest rates temporarily low by government subsidies. If you are looking to refinance out of an ARM or payoff high interest debt into a longer term fixed rate mortgage, now is the time.

Guidelines have tightened so be prepared for some surprises along the way. Get your information together and speak with a mortgage professional about your financial situation today.

God Bless

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

FHA's Comeback

One of the things I want to talk about is FHA loans. This program up until earlier this year had maybe 2% penetration into the market place. Reason for this is the influx of money, from investors, into the mortgage market thus creating a plethora of alternative loan programs that were giving borrowers more options. These loans include no income verification loans, stated income an asset loans, piggyback loans to avoid pmi, and others.

The market became very creative and helped fuel a red hot real estate market that set record sales for 5 years in row. Many people don't realize that while the market was creative in providing alternative loan programs to borrowers, lax underwriting guidelines and fraudulent activity created the majority of the mess we now see today. A severe decline in home values played and is playing a major role itself. I'm not going to talk about a lot of bad news here I think we get enough of that already from the media. Lets face it bad news makes the front page. My intent is to provide information about a old but new program that many steered away from but now is one of the only high loan to value options left.

Lets talk about the benefits of an FHA loan.

1. No minimum credit score- FICO scores over the last 15 or so years have been used heavily by lenders to determine the creditworthiness of a borrower to repay a loan. Being in the people business for 7 plus years now and pulling credit and looking over credit reports I can tell you it doesn't give a very good indication. The system is designed to give you a snapshot in time of what borrowers score is and not a trend of creditworthiness. I say this because I've pulled credit on someone with a 700 credit score and 6 months later they have one late payment and their score dropped to 550. Now is that a good indication of the borrowers ability to pay back a loan? Let me answer that for you NO! With FHA you don't need a minimum credit score to qualify however common sense is needed here. A 400 credit score is highly unlikely to get approved. Now this year FHA has added risk-based premiums to their upfront mortgage insurance and that is credit score driven but overall there is not a minimum criteria for a score to qualify.

2. Low Down payment - With FHA, up until Oct 1, 2009, only has to contribute 3% down payment. After October 1 it goes up to 3.5%. The 3% can come from a relative as a gift or borrowers own funds. This is powerful because right now in the conventional world you need a minimum of 5%, if the property is located in a declining market as indicated by the mortgage insurance companies, you'll then need 10% down. Not to mention you need over a 680 credit score to get the mortgage insurance approved. You might be approved for loan but can't get the insurance. Which moves me into my next benefit.

3. Low mortgage insurance - FHA handles their own mortgage insurance so if you are approved your loan will have the mortgage insurance on it. FHA mortgage insurance also is at a lower expense then conventional and if you put 10% and take out a 15 yr fixed loan no monthly mortgage insurance is required.

4. No income restrictions - For the first time home- buyer group this is huge. Most first time home-buyer programs are designed to meet the needs of low to moderate income borrowers. Well if you make more than the income limit these programs are unavailable to you. FHA has no income restrictions to qualify.

5. Purchase or refinance new or existing 1-4 unit homes - This is a big plus. You can still get 97% on the purchase of a 1-4 unit primary residence. Conventional requires more down payment on multi-unit properties. On cash out refinances there are limitations to loan to value.

6. Financing for manufactured homes - With the credit tightening in the mortgage market some areas have an ample supply of manufactured homes. The same 97% guidelines apply on these but they must meet FHA guidelines and be on a permanent foundation.

7. You can use a non-occupying co-borrower - This is a forgotten rule but if you can have a non-occupying co-borrower, as long as they are a relative, sign on the loan and the borrower can still get the maximum financing of 97%. This is limited to 1 unit properties if the ltv is over 75%. Certain restrictions apply.

These are just a few of the many benefits to FHA financing. It provides a solution for many borrowers needs and helps them fulfill the American Dream of owning a home. I've been in the industry over 4 years now and I love providing solutions for my clients to purchase their first or next home. I get great joy out of what I do.

Stay tuned for more of my blogs and industry news. I've never been a big fan of bad news I like to spread good news but we are facing problems in the housing industry but i believe it when I say its a cycle and we'll survive this storm and come out of it with better times. Remember the market is what you make it. There are still many opportunities out there you just have to change your marketing strategy, do things a little differently, try something new to see what works and what doesn't.

Never become victim of all the bad news because you can sure find a lot of it. Now is the time to become more proficient at what you do and become a trusted adviser to your clients and business partners.

God Bless

"Whether you think you can or you think you can't, either way you're right"

Henry Ford

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