More Fiscal Cliff Talks

My Quick Rant On This Topic

You know...this crap of fear mongering by the media is so elementary and obvious it's sickening.  This whole show about the Fiscal Cliff and taxes, and the wealthiest Americans paying more, and blah blah blah, is such a racket that is designed to divide us all.

When really looking at the numbers the top earners don't pay as much in taxes as you think they do folks.  Warren Buffet even said openly that he pays less in taxes in terms of percentage of income, than the average person does.

The very top earners pay people to find ways to reduce their taxes. Don't get me wrong I'm not against being wealthy and making money and living a very good life - who doesn't want to live a rich and fulfilling life? Everyone does that's a no brainer.. My point is this is a sneaky way to divide people through social stratification.

If you have money and ran a business or several businesses your goal would be to reduce your tax expense..duh.. Who likes to pay taxes? Nobody does.  The real people who pay taxes are the ones in the middle.  They carry the load which is why the soundbites are always targeted to "middle class" Americans which again the labels create a huge problem as it divides people into groups which leads to warfare...which is what they want!

If we're too distracted fighting a false paradigm, we can't actually come together as a nation and figure out a way to fix the problem.  "Class warfare" they label it ensues only worsening the problem.  It's trickery and is designed to keep us distracted, fighting, and living in fear and confusion.

What you fail to realize is that inflation is a silent tax and is way worse than what we're dealing with here on income taxes.  Have you noticed your food bill lately?

Oh but they want you to think that's a good thing because if prices are going up then that means your incomes will go up to match and plus the stock market is doing good and home prices are rising so just shut up and "feel" more wealthy when in reality you're income is not going up and the only ones profiting from the rising prices are the ones that control the lever...

If it's not a war on drugs, it's terrorism or taxes, or a bad economy, or murders, shootings, rapes, car wrecks, environmental calamities...It's a constant stream of bad news designed to keep people distracted, scared, confused, and worried all the time..

Jesse Ventura says it best when he describes our Congress as the world federation of wrestling as in front of the camera's they hate each other we have division, they're fighting it out but behind closed doors they're all buddies.

What you need to do is educate yourself and don't be fooled by what's going on around you.

This economy isn't going to get any better any time soon.  You need to decide how you are going to utilize your skills, talents, and brains to create extra income you can convert to stores of value like gold and silver and protect your family from the worst case scenario.

There are many ways to get started now in creating additional streams of income in your part time and start protecting yourself now - create your own economy and don't let this trash talk distract you or rob you of joy, happiness, and peace in your life.  Spend time with loved ones and cherish the special memories.

God Bless,

D...out...

Secretary Donovan Questioned By Senate Banking Committee

Earlier this month Secretary Donovan was questioned by the Senate Banking Committee on the financial health of the FHA Mortgage Insurance Fund.  A report released in November showed the agency was in the red $16.3 Billion dollars and it appears will need a bailout..

When Donovan was questioned, he could not promise FHA would not need a bailout but rather said we'll know more when the President's budget is released...

So in others words..like I said in my previous post HERE FHA is in deep doo doo..

Donovan however cautioned the committee not to make too drastic of changes to how the fund insures mortgage's as to not stall the recovery. "We are seeing a recovery, but it is still fragile," Donovan told the Senate Banking Committee. "We don’t want to hurt the market and in turn the FHA fund by going too far and stopping that recovery."

The agency's capital reserve account has dropped significantly since 2006 to -1.44% ending fiscal year 2012.  Under law the ratio needs to stay at 2%.  If that's not insolvency folks, I don't know what is... and clearly I don't know anything..

Sen. Richard Shelby (R-Ala.). "It is time for serious reform of the FHA before it needs a taxpayer bailout, if it isn’t too late already."

What types of changes need to be made? "A determination would not be made until the end of the 2013 fiscal year", Donovan said.

Haha...that means kicking the can down the road a bit and worrying about it later.  This seems to be the answer to all the issues we face is...let's just kick it down the road a bit and "see what happens".

Donovan said Congress could help the FHA by making some changes that the agency is unable to do on its own such as lowering max loan amounts (which Donovan is in favor of) as he noted, loan limits were reduced for Fannie and Freddie but not FHA which is putting more pressure on the fund in higher costs areas. 

What's interesting is nobody really thinks there is a problem but Wharton School of Finance Real Estate Professor Joseph Gyourko, thinks otherwise... "FHA is currently leveraged 41-to-1 -- which is higher than either Lehman Brothers (31-to-1) or Bear Stearns (38-to-1) when they collapsed"

Not to mention FHA is backing a proposal from the President to have Congress open up the Streamline Refinance to borrowers with non GSE and FHA mortgages and allow them to refinance into FHA insurance.. The min credit score? 580..

So not only is the fund in trouble but we're planning on expanding the refinance program that will further deplete funds, open up to more riskier borrowers, and then what? None of it makes any sense it will only  allow the banks to make even more money hand over fist which is what they've done since this whole thing began..

Yes - we've had a lot of banks collapse but those were competitors to the big mega banks and is the same thing that happened in the 1907 Panic; thousands of bank failures occurred but all that really happened was consolidation into bigger banks.   At that time private capital was taking profits away from the banks so something had to be done about so a widespread panic was induced which eventually led to the passing of the Federal Reserve Act (further consolidating power into the hands of the mega banks in New York) just a short 7 years later..

The name of the game is power folks..We as consumers pay more to keep FHA afloat so banks can continue to make money hand over fist.  They are purging the system of all its life until nothing is left bankrupting it all.

Just keep that in mind..

You want real truth..visit here.. Stop living in the matrix..

D...out..

Credit is Starting to Ease

As we all know we've been hammered everyday about the economic conditions we face. It's funny though how, when speaking about mortgages, the media fails to talk about government backed loans. They only talk about Fannie and Freddie but leave out Ginnie, which backs FHA securitized loans.
We still have financing available for first time homebuyers and marginal credit loans through financing with FHA, VA, and USDA rural housing loans. When talking with prospective buyers I keep hearing how "scared" people are to make a move. After I explain some of the conditions in the market and why the stock market is so volatile they settle down and understand what is happening with market dynamics.

The automobile industry used to be the main driver of the economy and signaled the dominance of manufacturing in our economy. Well now the main driver is housing. Yep that's right back in 2001 after the 9/11 attacks government was reluctant to impose regulation on the only part of the economy that appeared to be thriving, the red hot real estate market. Now we are facing the problems that all the credit default swaps, collateralized debt obligations, and other derivatives, that have caused problems for the banks and institutions that had them on their balance sheet.
We are in a flushing out phase and it will end, just not immediately. The Housing Recovery Act of 2008 made great strides to modernize FHA and come out with a tax credit for first time homebuyers in order to get them back into the market. Lets face it we need the first time homebuyers back in to purchase bloated inventory so we can start the domino effect again.

I want to explain a little bit about what is going on in the credit markets. I believe through education, you can ease your prospects minds with important information and convert more leads into sales.

Lets start with the credit markets. Credit markets are vital for individuals and businesses who need to access credit in order to purchase goods and services, make payrolls, expand business operations, make capital expenditures, school loans, and more.

The most important spread being watched right now is the LIBOR/OIS Spread. This is the spread between dollar LIBOR (london inter bank offered rate) and the Overnight index swap rates. This is a good indication of the willingness of banks to lend to each other. To give you a comparison before the credit crunch the LIBOR/OIS spread was 11bps (bps mean basis points which is 1/100th of a percent, example 11 basis points is .11% - 100bps is 1%.) The higher the spread the less likely banks will lend to each other. This week it closed at an a staggering 331bps but dropped from 341bps, which means we are seeing slight improvement.

Now what about all the selling? Well with the craziness in the market and Hedge Funds, investment vehicles for the wealthy, are deleveraging their positions and being forced to sell due to redemptions from their wealthy clients. Hedge funds are down about 19% ytd (estimate), some hedge funds after fees return 20%-26% annually. Hedge funds make their money in the stock market, credit markets, and derivative markets but in some cases borrow heavily to invest and hedge their bets. That's fine and dandy in an economic boom but in a slowdown like this they must sell and deleverage their positions causing downward pressure in the markets and then also selling on the down side, short selling, put options, etc, to keep from losing money from long, bullish positions, which causes more downward pressure. Not to mention mutual fund clients are selling their positions to meet growing redemptions from their clients as well. Thus creating the volatile environment we find ourselves in.

If you had some extra money laying around right now would be the best time to invest in real estate, and stocks pounded and are now undervalued.

The moral of the story, educate your clients in contrary to what is being splattered on the media, we are in election time and some news stations with political agendas are attempting to make this look like this is all the Bush Administrations fault and are attempting to make it sound so HORRID. Both parties failed to take action but many attempts were made but shot down by democrats in Congress. Right now is the best time to buy a home and with the Treasury recently being given 1.1Trillion dollars in buying power to purchase mortgage-backed securities (the main driver of mortgage rates) we should see some easing in the rate volatility here shortly as well.

If I can help with anything feel free to call or email me. Stay positive, do your homework on the market, this kind of thing happened in 1987 as well but how soon we forget.

God Bless!

FHA's Comeback

One of the things I want to talk about is FHA loans. This program up until earlier this year had maybe 2% penetration into the market place. Reason for this is the influx of money, from investors, into the mortgage market thus creating a plethora of alternative loan programs that were giving borrowers more options. These loans include no income verification loans, stated income an asset loans, piggyback loans to avoid pmi, and others.

The market became very creative and helped fuel a red hot real estate market that set record sales for 5 years in row. Many people don't realize that while the market was creative in providing alternative loan programs to borrowers, lax underwriting guidelines and fraudulent activity created the majority of the mess we now see today. A severe decline in home values played and is playing a major role itself. I'm not going to talk about a lot of bad news here I think we get enough of that already from the media. Lets face it bad news makes the front page. My intent is to provide information about a old but new program that many steered away from but now is one of the only high loan to value options left.

Lets talk about the benefits of an FHA loan.

1. No minimum credit score- FICO scores over the last 15 or so years have been used heavily by lenders to determine the creditworthiness of a borrower to repay a loan. Being in the people business for 7 plus years now and pulling credit and looking over credit reports I can tell you it doesn't give a very good indication. The system is designed to give you a snapshot in time of what borrowers score is and not a trend of creditworthiness. I say this because I've pulled credit on someone with a 700 credit score and 6 months later they have one late payment and their score dropped to 550. Now is that a good indication of the borrowers ability to pay back a loan? Let me answer that for you NO! With FHA you don't need a minimum credit score to qualify however common sense is needed here. A 400 credit score is highly unlikely to get approved. Now this year FHA has added risk-based premiums to their upfront mortgage insurance and that is credit score driven but overall there is not a minimum criteria for a score to qualify.

2. Low Down payment - With FHA, up until Oct 1, 2009, only has to contribute 3% down payment. After October 1 it goes up to 3.5%. The 3% can come from a relative as a gift or borrowers own funds. This is powerful because right now in the conventional world you need a minimum of 5%, if the property is located in a declining market as indicated by the mortgage insurance companies, you'll then need 10% down. Not to mention you need over a 680 credit score to get the mortgage insurance approved. You might be approved for loan but can't get the insurance. Which moves me into my next benefit.

3. Low mortgage insurance - FHA handles their own mortgage insurance so if you are approved your loan will have the mortgage insurance on it. FHA mortgage insurance also is at a lower expense then conventional and if you put 10% and take out a 15 yr fixed loan no monthly mortgage insurance is required.

4. No income restrictions - For the first time home- buyer group this is huge. Most first time home-buyer programs are designed to meet the needs of low to moderate income borrowers. Well if you make more than the income limit these programs are unavailable to you. FHA has no income restrictions to qualify.

5. Purchase or refinance new or existing 1-4 unit homes - This is a big plus. You can still get 97% on the purchase of a 1-4 unit primary residence. Conventional requires more down payment on multi-unit properties. On cash out refinances there are limitations to loan to value.

6. Financing for manufactured homes - With the credit tightening in the mortgage market some areas have an ample supply of manufactured homes. The same 97% guidelines apply on these but they must meet FHA guidelines and be on a permanent foundation.

7. You can use a non-occupying co-borrower - This is a forgotten rule but if you can have a non-occupying co-borrower, as long as they are a relative, sign on the loan and the borrower can still get the maximum financing of 97%. This is limited to 1 unit properties if the ltv is over 75%. Certain restrictions apply.

These are just a few of the many benefits to FHA financing. It provides a solution for many borrowers needs and helps them fulfill the American Dream of owning a home. I've been in the industry over 4 years now and I love providing solutions for my clients to purchase their first or next home. I get great joy out of what I do.

Stay tuned for more of my blogs and industry news. I've never been a big fan of bad news I like to spread good news but we are facing problems in the housing industry but i believe it when I say its a cycle and we'll survive this storm and come out of it with better times. Remember the market is what you make it. There are still many opportunities out there you just have to change your marketing strategy, do things a little differently, try something new to see what works and what doesn't.

Never become victim of all the bad news because you can sure find a lot of it. Now is the time to become more proficient at what you do and become a trusted adviser to your clients and business partners.

God Bless

"Whether you think you can or you think you can't, either way you're right"

Henry Ford

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