Well experts are scratching their heads to answer this question. We've seen home prices drop some 27%-30% since the 4th quarter of 2006. But really if you look at the data the majority of the declines came from the west and east coasts, mostly California and Florida. Take these states out and you have a flat market. In some markets prices are actually increasing. So is there a bottom? How do you know?
I really believe if we can get the media to start telling good news, consumer confidence will come back and "the markets" state of mind will change. All the bad publicity housing has been getting has caused a shift in thinking keeping people on the sidelines. I can't stress this enough that NOW is the time to buy a home. The government is giving a tax credit for first time homebuyers and when they begin to jump back into the market, you'll see a domino effect upward.
In the midst of the RED HOT real estate boom home prices were skyrocketing and rates were low. Now you have the same low rates but home prices have come down so why not take advantage of the opportunity. Don't listen to the hype that makes news, work the numbers and realize that this is only a correction, a hefty one, but a correction that will not last too much longer.
The media wants you to believe that home financing options have vanished. This simply not true. FHA, which stands for Federal Housing Authority, was enacted in 1934 to help stimulate a flat housing market. FHA provides low down payment, low interest, affordable financing for not only first time homebuyers but repeat buyers alike. FHA is ran by the Department of Housing and Urban Development and operates fully on self-generated income that costs the taxpayers zero. The insurance premiums, called UFMIP or upfront mortgage insurance premium, is charged on every loan and is put into an account to which the program is funded.
FHA has mortgage insurance on a monthly basis as well, similar to PMI or private mortgage insurance issued by private companies such as Radian, PMI, MGIC, and RMIC. This mortgage insurance is at a much lower cost than conventional mortgage insurance and in some instances is half the cost.
The media doesn't talk about this program of course and its important that we get some stigmas out of the way. FHA in its old days was a little more strict on the property guidelines. They would require a very long form of an appraisal called a VC sheet. This sometimes made it difficult for the Realtors and buyers because certain guidelines required additional inspections and repairs not figured into the sales price that would delay closing or cost the seller more money than they anticipated. This was for the protection of the buyer so that they were not moving into a home that needed a lot of repairs and that would put a strain on the new homeowner. Realtors and builders grew to hate the program and tried to find other avenues of financing. Since 2006 FHA has loosened its guidelines to change with the market and has made it easier to close on a home using FHA financing.
With the explosion of 100% purchase programs FHA became obsolete. Do not be afraid of this program because this is an excellent way to get low cost, low down payment financing to purchase a home. The problems we are having came from the provisions in the Community Reinvestment Act in 1995, which made banks make more and more loans to people who really couldn't afford them. Very very lax underwriting guidelines fueled by greed on Wall Street with exotic mortgage-backed bonds and collateralized debt obligations that have crippled names like Merriyl Lynch and Bear Stearns.
We've seen some consolidation in the this industry and I believe we'll see more coming down the pike. So are we at a bottom? I honestly believe the worst is behind us and we'll see an upward trend in the coming quarters. Don't listen to the hype on the news, if you are in the market talk to a mortgage professional and work the numbers.
For information on FHA loans please visit my site, www.53.com/mlo/dustin-swigart.
Have a great weekend!!!
"We all have the seeds to personal growth within us, but very few ever realize the important role circumstances play in nurturing those seeds to trees of opportunity."
Dustin Swigart
Copyright © 2008 by Dustin Swigart
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